Hibiscus stamen [taken on a very windy day - kinda blurry!]
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I wasn't online much this past weekend...busy, feeling under par, and trying to catch up on house work...Speaking of "Blowin' in the Wind"... Y'all know by now, if you follow me and my blogging, that our Hurricane Season begins historically on June 1st of each year and ends November 30th....six month season. Typically in our area, tho there have been some devastating storms earlier, most of the stronger hurricanes arrive in the Gulf in late August...running from September through October. Studying so much in the near decade we have lived here on the Gulf of Mexico coast, I now know a bit more, I can read the maps of storms coming off the shores of West Africa and, not to brag, but I can usually guess quite closely, where the storm will head by the direction of the winds --- the formation of the hurricane's eye, the location of where it comes OFF the African coast, and our OWN Gulf Water Temperature. The warmer the water is at our shoreline, there is always a strong possibility that a storm from Africa can come in through the straits of Florida or farther south below Cuba --- entering the Gulf of Mexico. Over the years I've also began to follow the water temperature!!! Altho, again historically, a storm can occur oftentimes against all scientific predictions, but when the Gulf water temperature drops below 80 degrees [some scientists say 26 degrees Celsius which converts to approximately 78.8 degrees]...then, the strong threat of hurricanes forming ceases to exist. Of course, I would also have to take into consideration the jet streams, the El Nino vs. La Nina, and the air's temperature. Hurricanes need all those factors, factored in to make a scenario for a tropical cyclone to form. The last two summers the formation has been nearly nixed here in the Gulf. But, I know our time will come soon enough, the odds and weather history/patterns will repeat. It's been a few weeks since I have been concerned in diligently watching the storms...since Isaac. He was at one time predicted to head right for the Coastal Bend then turned sharply to the north to hit Louisiana and New Orleans. I also know that, as I stated just above, there is still a chance of a hurricane forming in our area...there is still positively two more months of a high chance. Tho storms have hit here in the Gulf Region in November, historically they are quite weakened...nothing close to a category 5. Anyway, what I'm getting at here in my morsels for this week is, in the last two weeks, since I followed Isaac and today the Gulf Water Temperature has dropped from 86 degrees to 81.9 as I type this little blog...this drastic, quick drop in the water's heat index is promising to look at for this 2012 season.
from the US NODC [National Oceanic Data Center]